Winter forecasting is terrible here, only job you can be wrong yet still be employed. The "better get your bread + milk" stock up BS (not like anyone lives 100 miles away from 15 convenience / grocery stores) with "2 feet by late afternoon turns into a mere 3 inches"... Nor'Easter, haven't had a real one in a few of years- maybe 2020.
I love a good snow fall in Central NY, steady add of inches and colder temps just makes it another great season- keeps my sleds on local trails and the groomer running.
Farmer's almanac, more folklore.... seen any solid black woolly bear caterpillars yet?